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December 15, 2025 Economic Analysis

Inflation and the basic basket: what changed in the last year

Over the past twelve months, accumulated inflation has directly affected the cost of the basic consumer basket. According to official indicators, food and household services showed the most pronounced increases...

Family basic basket

Over the past twelve months, accumulated inflation has directly affected the cost of the basic consumer basket. According to official indicators, food and household services showed the most pronounced increases. This reduces the purchasing power of municipal and national wages, especially in households with fixed incomes.

Detailed analysis from INDEC reveals that within the food category, basic basket products experienced differentiated increases. Beef led the rises with 118% year-on-year, followed by dairy products at 97% and baked goods at 89%. These products represent approximately 45% of the food expenditure of an average Argentine household.

Household services also contributed significantly to purchasing power erosion. Electricity rates increased an average of 142% over the last year, while residential natural gas rose 156%. Public transportation in metropolitan areas accumulated increases of 134%, directly impacting the budget of workers who depend on this service.

To effectively read basic basket data, it's crucial to understand the difference between the Basic Food Basket (CBA) and the Total Basic Basket (CBT). The CBA measures the minimum cost of food to cover nutritional requirements, while the CBT additionally includes essential non-food goods and services such as housing, transportation, health and education.

When comparing month-to-month prices, consider seasonal variations. Certain fresh foods naturally fluctuate according to the time of year. Tomatoes can double their price in winter compared to summer, without this necessarily reflecting structural inflationary pressure. Focus on three to six month trends to obtain a more accurate picture of real price evolution.

The composition of the basic basket also varies regionally. INDEC calculates specific indices for different regions, recognizing that consumption patterns in Patagonia differ significantly from those in the NOA or Pampean region. A Bariloche household allocates a greater proportion of its budget to heating than a Cordoba one, altering the relative impact of rate increases.

January 8, 2026 Regional Analysis

Regional comparison: the peso's purchasing power by province

Not all territories experience the same price changes. Regional variations in consumption structure and wage evolution create notable differences in real purchasing power...

Regional economic comparison

Not all territories experience the same price changes. Regional variations in consumption structure and wage evolution create notable differences in real purchasing power. Here we present comparative examples between provinces, with simple charts that allow you to see which categories weigh more in each region.

Patagonia presents the highest cost of living in the country, but also registers above-average salaries. In Río Negro, the average salary in formal sectors reaches $487,000 monthly, while in NOA provinces it hovers around $312,000. However, the cost of the basic basket in Bariloche exceeds that of Salta capital by 38%, partially reducing that nominal wage advantage.

Differences in consumption structure are pronounced. In Tierra del Fuego, heating and energy expenses represent 18% of the average family budget, compared to just 7% in northern provinces. Conversely, cooling and ventilation expenses are three times higher in Santiago del Estero than in Ushuaia. These patterns fundamentally alter how general inflation impacts each household's pocket.

The food sector also shows significant regional disparities. Provinces with diversified agricultural production like Buenos Aires, Córdoba and Santa Fe tend to experience lower inflation in fresh foods than regions dependent on external supply. Distance from production centers increases logistics costs that end up being transferred to the final consumer.

Wages evolve at different rates according to provincial economic composition. Provinces with strong oil or mining activity (Neuquén, Santa Cruz, San Juan) registered above-national-average salary adjustments in 2025, linked to collective agreements in those sectors. Provinces with economies more dependent on public employment experienced more moderate increases, generally aligned with national state collective bargaining.

Transportation is another category with marked regional differences. In metropolitan cities with subsidized public transportation systems, the relative cost of mobility is lower than in localities where private automobiles are practically mandatory. A worker in CABA allocates approximately 6% of their income to transportation, while in Patagonian cities without mass public transit, that percentage can exceed 15% considering fuel, vehicle maintenance and insurance.

Understanding these regional dynamics is essential to correctly interpret national indicators. An 8% monthly inflation index at the country level may represent 6% in one province and 11% in another. Knowing your region's specific reality allows you to plan financially with greater precision and more accurately evaluate whether a wage increase truly compensates for the increase in local cost of living.

January 12, 2026 Personal Finance

How to protect savings in pesos: practical measures and limitations

Savings in local currency face erosion due to inflation. There are practical strategies to mitigate value loss, but all have limits depending on the macroeconomic context...

Savings strategies

Savings in local currency face erosion due to inflation. There are practical strategies to mitigate value loss —periodic adjustments, diversification among domestic instruments, and monitoring benchmark indicators— but all have limits depending on the macroeconomic context. We present concrete measures for citizens seeking to minimize inflationary impact on their savings.

UVA (Purchasing Value Unit) fixed-term deposits represent an option to maintain purchasing power. These instruments adjust capital for official inflation plus an additional interest rate. In contexts of 8% monthly inflation, a 90-day UVA fixed-term deposit can offer effective protection. However, consider that there is a temporal lag: the inflation adjustment is calculated with data from the previous month, generating a small loss in periods of accelerating inflation.

CER (Reference Stabilization Coefficient) bonds work similarly, adjusting for inflation plus an additional return. They have the advantage of greater liquidity than fixed-term deposits, being able to be sold on the secondary market before maturity. CER bonds with maturities between 1 and 3 years offered positive real returns of 3-5% annually in 2025. The disadvantage is that they require opening an account with a brokerage firm, adding operational complexity.

Mutual funds specializing in inflation-adjusted instruments offer professional diversification with accessible minimum investment. These funds combine CER bonds of different maturities, diluting specific risks. Historically they have managed to exceed inflation by 2-4 annual percentage points, although past performance does not guarantee future results. Verify that the fund has an appropriate risk rating and reasonable administration costs (less than 2% annually).

Maintaining a small portion in legal dollars can serve as partial hedging. The MEP dollar (Electronic Payment Market) or cable dollar are legal alternatives to access foreign currency without restrictions. In 2025, the dollar appreciated 87% against the peso, far exceeding official inflation. However, this strategy has limitations: the dollar can remain stable or even depreciate in real terms during specific periods, and holding dollars generates no return by itself.

Temporal diversification is also crucial. Don't place all your savings in long-term instruments. Maintain a liquid emergency fund equivalent to 3-6 months of expenses, even though this implies accepting some inflationary erosion. Liquidity has value: it prevents being forced to dismantle investments at inopportune moments due to unforeseen needs.

Finally, recognize structural limitations. In contexts of very high inflation, no peso instrument offers perfect protection. CER or UVA adjustments always lag one step behind real inflation. Positive real interest rates are difficult to sustain when inflation exceeds 100% annually. Therefore, the most robust strategy combines financial instruments with investment in human capital: education, training and skills development that increase your income-generating capacity regardless of macroeconomic context.